Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.548593 1.679998 1.819184 1.977903 2.154262 2.344637 2.566258
2026-01-11 1.364777 1.547464 1.751967 1.999073 2.291181 2.627465 3.046764
2026-01-18 1.243922 1.456586 1.704535 2.017458 2.405350 2.875011 3.493812
2026-01-25 1.148058 1.378969 1.657055 2.020574 2.489110 3.080859 3.898080
2026-02-01 1.051755 1.289331 1.583022 1.978133 2.504107 3.192368 4.181886
2026-02-08 0.977856 1.220282 1.526923 1.950110 2.530029 3.313721 4.483032
2026-02-15 0.920848 1.167798 1.486741 1.937319 2.571587 3.455009 4.820458
2026-02-22 0.890882 1.147962 1.486946 1.977217 2.686419 3.705297 5.338974
2026-03-01 0.846496 1.105432 1.452869 1.965470 2.724467 3.844503 5.699086
2026-03-08 0.801497 1.059123 1.410203 1.937496 2.734859 3.940608 5.997240
2026-03-15 0.749906 1.000737 1.347001 1.874899 2.687502 3.942137 6.137521
2026-03-22 0.723438 0.976216 1.330327 1.879493 2.742313 4.107041 6.567671
2026-03-29 0.702168 0.958531 1.323198 1.898968 2.823383 4.323707 7.117761
2026-04-05 0.683060 0.942931 1.318118 1.920973 2.909735 4.556151 7.723773
2026-04-12 0.664288 0.926730 1.310983 1.938791 2.989746 4.783665 8.346962
2026-04-19 0.643170 0.905885 1.295480 1.941811 3.044366 4.970281 8.912369
2026-04-26 0.613026 0.869993 1.254950 1.901426 3.021064 5.013707 9.193831
2026-05-03 0.588233 0.841164 1.223955 1.874752 3.019329 5.095602 9.562901
2026-05-10 0.568377 0.819081 1.202471 1.862574 3.042092 5.224635 10.047187
2026-05-17 0.560772 0.815676 1.210416 1.900557 3.157875 5.541894 10.986942
2026-05-24 0.543153 0.795721 1.190651 1.889374 3.181708 5.679620 11.536929
2026-05-31 0.523390 0.771585 1.162984 1.862741 3.174415 5.753445 11.945806
2026-06-07 0.498125 0.737742 1.117997 1.803129 3.100260 5.683613 11.998267